Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm artwork
The Ezra Klein Show

Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm

Oct 27, 2026 · 00:55:05

“If the election goes roughly as the polls say it will go, then in some ways it would mark the end of the Trump era,” Nate Silver told me.The midterms are a week away, and it looks entirely possible that Democrats will win not just the House, but also the Senate. Democrats are polling competitively deep into red territory – Texas, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, Kansas – states that Trump won in 2024 by doubl…